Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 355.996515 404.533659 458.737296 524.026687 600.892418 688.944426 798.063957
2025-08-03 276.669271 337.728204 412.165887 510.628202 638.999751 802.864043 1031.413707
2025-08-10 234.530294 299.463636 383.170709 500.886978 665.262609 891.436410 1234.832024
2025-08-17 213.318002 282.829099 376.767389 516.031971 722.603918 1026.717153 1526.211526
2025-08-24 191.885323 262.193370 360.895733 513.697029 752.071296 1123.813331 1777.797836
2025-08-31 173.076293 242.564782 343.315019 505.196871 769.094032 1202.232519 2013.241551
2025-09-07 160.208578 229.882519 333.995007 507.273166 801.928993 1310.289413 2323.118977
2025-09-14 146.439889 214.301788 318.308915 496.666233 811.175340 1377.945619 2571.340624
2025-09-21 136.606116 203.744448 309.203559 495.428680 835.848596 1476.771964 2904.932803
2025-09-28 124.215071 188.013972 290.166116 474.756032 821.976182 1499.143156 3079.642625
2025-10-05 120.657542 186.153783 293.674676 493.941736 885.242468 1685.448187 3675.656204
2025-10-12 117.823533 185.170130 298.442159 515.785763 956.783786 1902.794658 4414.774381
2025-10-19 111.853375 178.579249 293.164186 518.753617 991.847850 2050.713919 5034.126468
2025-10-26 104.009502 168.178702 280.242417 505.544330 991.058833 2116.868183 5452.659445
2025-11-02 97.471542 159.555140 269.761249 495.917172 996.511222 2198.968404 5948.377230
2025-11-09 94.793627 157.573188 271.322103 510.880421 1059.608767 2439.242663 7040.614751
2025-11-16 90.166267 151.697538 264.998297 508.573584 1082.021093 2578.234577 7854.554405
2025-11-23 85.217157 144.879042 256.293446 500.175651 1088.445817 2675.046496 8561.279291
2025-11-30 81.853437 140.782193 252.560438 502.227009 1121.147232 2854.676716 9676.031370
2025-12-07 77.406882 134.341410 243.663299 491.747240 1120.211946 2934.526132 10424.547393
2025-12-14 74.248012 130.168643 239.026522 490.524488 1143.541828 3095.455785 11618.484530
2025-12-21 69.427279 122.488467 226.671118 470.097923 1112.106617 3074.247579 11959.494945
2025-12-28 68.670452 122.725372 230.741840 489.055316 1192.756443 3446.062748 14474.704463